Happy Valley · 2026-05-27 · 14:15
GARONNE HANDICAP
Race 8
Race 8 ("GARONNE HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-27 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUPERB CAPITALIST, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won, with HORSEPOWER second and CANDLELIGHT DINNER third. The 4.9 favourite MR DESIRA finished 7th.
Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPERB CAPITALIST TT 0:56.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 12.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | HORSEPOWER XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 5.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER H J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 1 | 5.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | TOGETHER WE VALUE B H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 9 | 5.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | CENTRAL BANK XB C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 10 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | ROYAL BLITZ XB1 E Brown · D J Whyte | E Brown | D J Whyte | 6 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | MR DESIRA V1/TT- J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 4.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | CASA OF HONOR XB M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 8 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | LA FORZA B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 12 | 56.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | COPPER CORE TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 95.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS SR/V/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | MASTER CHAMPION SR-/CP2/TT2 K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 3 | 13.0 | 7 |
| — | 0 | KING PROFIT TT · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | BUNTA BABY V/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 25.2% | 3.97 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | HORSEPOWER | 14.6% | 6.86 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | TOGETHER WE VALUE | 14.6% | 6.87 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | MR DESIRA | 9.7% | 10.26 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | ROYAL BLITZ | 7.0% | 14.32 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 5.9% | 16.82 | 11 |
| 7 | 12 | COPPER CORE | 5.1% | 19.65 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | MASTER CHAMPION | 4.5% | 22.45 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | CASA OF HONOR | 4.0% | 25.16 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | LA FORZA | 3.9% | 25.95 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | CENTRAL BANK | 3.2% | 31.40 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 2.4% | 40.89 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 123
PLACE
1 18
2 17
3 40
QUINELLA
1,3 431
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 48
1,3 142
2,3 116
FORECAST
3,1 866
TIERCE
3,1,2 3,818
TRIO
1,2,3 431
FIRST 4
1,2,3,7 813
QUARTET
3,1,2,7 23,517
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
4,9/1 31
4,9/3 516.5