Happy Valley · 2019-10-09
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 1 | 6.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SHINING ON Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 4.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MAGNETISM Closed strongly B/TT U Rispoli · D E Ferraris | U Rispoli | D E Ferraris | 7 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR Closed strongly E/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 101.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | C P POWER Closed strongly V/TT A Domeyer · A T Millard | A Domeyer | A T Millard | 4 | 5.9 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY Closed strongly B/TT K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 6 | 87.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | GODSPEED Led early B L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 8 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE P-/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 22.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | ENJOY LIFE B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 10 | 70.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/P/TT N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 12 | 29.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | NABOO STAR XB J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 3.4 | 17-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS B Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 9.8 | 19-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2019-10-09 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FLASH FAMOUS, ridden by C Schofield and trained by F C Lor, won by 1, with SHINING ON second and MAGNETISM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite NABOO STAR finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NABOO STAR | 33.2% | 3.01 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 14.0% | 7.14 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SHINING ON | 11.6% | 8.64 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | C P POWER | 9.0% | 11.05 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS | 8.1% | 12.41 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 6.6% | 15.10 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | GODSPEED | 6.2% | 16.22 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | MAGNETISM | 3.9% | 25.62 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR | 2.6% | 38.77 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 1.7% | 57.79 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY | 1.7% | 60.17 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | ENJOY LIFE | 1.4% | 69.51 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 60.5
PLACE
3 40
9 18
10 20
QUINELLA
9,10 143
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 131.5
3,10 180.5
9,10 51.5
TIERCE
10,9,3 3,449
TRIO
3,9,10 751
FIRST 4
3,9,10,12 12,961
QUARTET
10,9,3,12 150,292
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,9,10/3,9,10 8,671
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 23
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
8,10/9 13.5
8,10/10 134