Happy Valley · 2019-10-09
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY DRAGON Closed strongly H 1.39.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 4 | 29.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | DANCES WITH DRAGON Closed strongly H/P/TT A Domeyer · L Ho | A Domeyer | L Ho | 7 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT GLORY Led early H/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GREEN LUCK Closed strongly B/H J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 2.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | HARMONY HERO B/H2/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 9 | 4.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 10 | 9.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MR SO AND SO TT U Rispoli · J Size | U Rispoli | J Size | 1 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | VICTORY BOYS Closed strongly B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 14.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD OMEN V-/CP2 R Bayliss · D J Whyte | R Bayliss | D J Whyte | 8 | 18.0 | 16-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2019-10-09 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY DRAGON, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by J Moore, won by 1/2, with DANCES WITH DRAGON second and TURIN REDSTAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite GREEN LUCK finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GREEN LUCK | 32.1% | 3.11 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE | 14.1% | 7.11 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | VICTORY BOYS | 11.1% | 9.00 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | HARMONY HERO | 10.4% | 9.64 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY DRAGON | 7.8% | 12.84 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR | 5.6% | 17.93 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | MR SO AND SO | 5.4% | 18.49 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | DANCES WITH DRAGON | 5.3% | 18.76 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT GLORY | 5.1% | 19.54 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD OMEN | 3.1% | 32.11 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 292
PLACE
2 60
7 32
8 74.5
QUINELLA
7,8 1,753.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 463.5
2,8 567
7,8 449.5
TIERCE
8,7,2 37,122
TRIO
2,7,8 5,916
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 6,953
QUARTET
8,7,2,5 233,396
3 PICK 1
A3 38
A2 —
A1 —
All pools (2 more)
6TH DOUBLE
4/7 335
4/8 5,152.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,9,10/2,3,4/Any Combination 5,832