Sha Tin · 2019-10-12
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KING'S RACE Wire to wire CP1/TT 1.21.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 1 | 25.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | FUN TIMES Closed strongly B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 8 | 3.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | VITAL SPRING Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 6.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW Closed strongly B/H N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 5 | 35.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B A Domeyer · P F Yiu | A Domeyer | P F Yiu | 12 | 8.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | CENTRAL EXPRESS Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | STARSHIP Closed strongly B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 4.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LITTLE GENERAL Closed strongly CP G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 13 | 6.3 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | LOTUS BREEZE Closed strongly B/XB/TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 14 | 44.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | KELMIMI WINS H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 10 | 250.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | INCREDIBLE TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 319.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SHANGHAI RUSKY H M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 4 | 275.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL B2/TT T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 7 | 210.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SMART ROCKET CP R Bayliss · J Moore | R Bayliss | J Moore | 9 | 10.0 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2019-10-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KING'S RACE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by K H Ting, won by 1, with FUN TIMES second and VITAL SPRING third. The winner led throughout. The 3.3 favourite FUN TIMES finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FUN TIMES | 21.9% | 4.57 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | STARSHIP | 13.4% | 7.49 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | LITTLE GENERAL | 10.1% | 9.88 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | CENTRAL EXPRESS | 9.4% | 10.68 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | VITAL SPRING | 9.4% | 10.69 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SMART ROCKET | 8.9% | 11.22 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | KING'S RACE | 8.7% | 11.49 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 7.3% | 13.75 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | LOTUS BREEZE | 5.1% | 19.64 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW | 1.9% | 52.74 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL | 1.7% | 59.12 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | INCREDIBLE | 1.2% | 83.76 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | KELMIMI WINS | 0.6% | 162.78 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | SHANGHAI RUSKY | 0.6% | 180.94 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 252
PLACE
7 55.5
9 14
12 22
QUINELLA
7,9 472.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 146
7,12 160.5
9,12 38
TIERCE
7,9,12 6,171
TRIO
7,9,12 685
FIRST 4
6,7,9,12 4,790
QUARTET
7,9,12,6 140,028
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,12/7,9,12 9,351
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 31
3RD DOUBLE
5/7 1,601
5/9 92