Sha Tin · 2019-10-12
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2019-10-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RELENTLESS ME, ridden by J Moreira and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with GOLDEN FOUR second and ABOVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | RELENTLESS ME Closed strongly B/XB 1.21.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 4 | 2.4 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly B- U Rispoli · C W Chang | U Rispoli | C W Chang | 3 | 17.0 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | ABOVE Closed strongly B K Teetan · J Moore | K Teetan | J Moore | 8 | 9.1 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | MR MAGELLAN Closed strongly G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 7 | 5.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE Closed strongly B K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 5 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | DYNASTA Closed strongly B1 B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 2 | 124.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | BREAK RECORD Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 12 | 172.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | FAIRY FLOSS H M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 1 | 71.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | KHAKI Closed strongly B L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 10 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SIMPLE ELEGANT Led early V K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 11 | 4.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | GINTOKI B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 9 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS B/TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 6 | 37.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | CARE FREE PRINCE B C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 14 | 49.0 | 21 |
| 14 | 2 | GREAT SMART B H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 13 | 406.0 | 30-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | ABOVE | 24.9% | 4.02 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | RELENTLESS ME | 22.2% | 4.51 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | SIMPLE ELEGANT | 16.0% | 6.24 | 10 |
| 4 | 14 | MR MAGELLAN | 8.4% | 11.92 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | GOLDEN FOUR | 4.7% | 21.38 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | DYNASTA | 4.4% | 22.83 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | KHAKI | 3.8% | 26.07 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | CARE FREE PRINCE | 3.7% | 27.38 | 13 |
| 9 | 6 | GINTOKI | 3.3% | 30.15 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE | 3.2% | 31.44 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS | 2.8% | 35.79 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | FAIRY FLOSS | 1.2% | 83.55 | 8 |
| 13 | 10 | BREAK RECORD | 1.0% | 96.02 | 7 |
| 14 | 2 | GREAT SMART | 0.5% | 203.70 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 24
PLACE
9 12
11 40.5
13 27
QUINELLA
9,11 205.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 73
9,13 48
11,13 222
TIERCE
9,11,13 2,248
TRIO
9,11,13 525
FIRST 4
9,11,13,14 451
QUARTET
9,11,13,14 7,860
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A3 —
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
7/9 601
7/11 332