Sha Tin · 2019-10-12
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAVVY SIX Closed strongly H/PC/TT 1.45.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 2 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly H C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 5 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | STAR PERFORMANCE H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE Closed strongly B U Rispoli · F C Lor | U Rispoli | F C Lor | 1 | 43.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HARMONY VICTORY Closed strongly SR/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 1.9 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | ENRICHMENT Closed strongly B L Hewitson · J Size | L Hewitson | J Size | 8 | 42.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DOCTOR GEOFF H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CLASSIC BEAUTY B G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 10 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | KING OPIE V K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR XB/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 11 | 23.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MISSION TYCOON Led early B-/V2/TT B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 9 | 20.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2019-10-12 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SAVVY SIX, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with TIANCHI MONSTER second and STAR PERFORMANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite HARMONY VICTORY finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 40.6% | 2.46 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | HARMONY VICTORY | 21.3% | 4.69 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | KING OPIE | 7.0% | 14.29 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | SAVVY SIX | 6.8% | 14.71 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 5.3% | 18.73 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 4.7% | 21.32 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | CLASSIC BEAUTY | 4.0% | 25.05 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE | 3.6% | 27.70 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | DOCTOR GEOFF | 3.0% | 33.06 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | MISSION TYCOON | 2.0% | 50.11 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | ENRICHMENT | 1.6% | 62.16 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 121
PLACE
7 33.5
8 27
11 16
QUINELLA
7,8 601.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 156.5
7,11 78
8,11 59
TIERCE
7,8,11 4,260
TRIO
7,8,11 658
FIRST 4
6,7,8,11 5,059
QUARTET
7,8,11,6 121,403
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,12/7,8,11 55,753
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 47.5
6TH DOUBLE
7/7 1,294
7/8 122