Sha Tin · 2019-11-03
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-03 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RELENTLESS ME, ridden by K H Chan and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3/4, with DESTIN second and CITY LEGEND third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RELENTLESS ME Wire to wire B/XB 1.21.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 1 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | DESTIN Closed strongly B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 7.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 3 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | JOYFUL HEART TT N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 6 | 63.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | VITAL SPRING Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 13 | 94.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | BREAK RECORD Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 8 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | CASIMIRO G van Niekerk · C H Yip | G van Niekerk | C H Yip | 14 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | SPRINT FORWARD Closed strongly CP/XB/TT R Bayliss · J Moore | R Bayliss | J Moore | 11 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | COLORADO HIGH J Moreira · R Gibson | J Moreira | R Gibson | 7 | 5.4 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | CENTRAL EXPRESS B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 9 | 29.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | CHAPARRAL STAR H-/PC-/XB-/TT1 H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 118.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | FOREVER BRIGHT B A Sanna · P F Yiu | A Sanna | P F Yiu | 5 | 127.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | SMILING SUCCESS CP1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 49.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COLORADO HIGH | 21.0% | 4.76 | 10 |
| 2 | 2 | RELENTLESS ME | 19.0% | 5.25 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | VITAL SPRING | 13.4% | 7.48 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | DESTIN | 12.3% | 8.14 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | CITY LEGEND | 12.2% | 8.18 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | SPRINT FORWARD | 6.1% | 16.44 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | CENTRAL EXPRESS | 4.9% | 20.45 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | JOYFUL HEART | 2.8% | 35.76 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | CASIMIRO | 2.3% | 42.72 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | BREAK RECORD | 1.5% | 68.19 | 7 |
| 11 | 14 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 1.3% | 75.82 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | SMILING SUCCESS | 1.2% | 80.06 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | CHAPARRAL STAR | 1.2% | 82.92 | 12 |
| 14 | 9 | FOREVER BRIGHT | 0.7% | 140.67 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 36
PLACE
2 15.5
4 16
7 24.5
QUINELLA
2,7 121.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 33
2,7 45.5
4,7 54.5
TIERCE
2,7,4 716
TRIO
2,4,7 134
FIRST 4
2,4,5,7 1,811
QUARTET
2,7,4,5 23,385
3 PICK 1
A2 20.5
A1 —
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
9/2 77.5
9/7 40