Sha Tin · 2019-11-03
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLYING VICTORY Closed strongly H/TT 1.21.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 12 | 16.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 3.4 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | GUY DRAGON Closed strongly XB/TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 10 | 7.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PRINCE OF GEMS Led early CP1 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 6 | 5.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | PICKEN J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 3.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | MR ALDAN Closed strongly B/TT W L Ho · A S Cruz | W L Ho | A S Cruz | 11 | 29.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | CLASSIC POSH C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 4 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MONEY BACK B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND Closed strongly A Sanna · Y S Tsui | A Sanna | Y S Tsui | 3 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC Closed strongly SR1 N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 13 | 127.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GAYSON B1/XB1 R Bayliss · J Moore | R Bayliss | J Moore | 7 | 81.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | INTERSTELLAR TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 8 | 232.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | JOYFUL MOMENTS B H N Wong · R Gibson | H N Wong | R Gibson | 9 | 125.0 | 10 |
| — | 0 | TRIUMPHANT ARCH M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MIGHTY MAVERICK U Rispoli · C Fownes | U Rispoli | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY ENERGY R Bayliss · J Moore | R Bayliss | J Moore | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-03 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FLYING VICTORY, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with REGENCY BO BO second and GUY DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite PICKEN finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PICKEN | 29.0% | 3.45 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO | 19.0% | 5.26 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | PRINCE OF GEMS | 12.9% | 7.76 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | GUY DRAGON | 10.9% | 9.18 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | FLYING VICTORY | 6.0% | 16.72 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | CLASSIC POSH | 5.5% | 18.15 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | MONEY BACK | 4.2% | 23.68 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND | 3.5% | 28.62 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 2.3% | 43.47 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | GAYSON | 2.3% | 44.06 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | JOYFUL MOMENTS | 1.9% | 51.71 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | MR ALDAN | 1.9% | 53.74 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | INTERSTELLAR | 0.6% | 155.54 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 166.5
PLACE
1 21
11 15
13 40.5
QUINELLA
11,13 248
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 51
1,13 179
11,13 75
TIERCE
13,11,1 4,985
TRIO
1,11,13 682
FIRST 4
1,11,13,14 767
QUARTET
13,11,1,14 25,579
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 38.5
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
2/11 243.5
2/13 2,606.5