沙田 · 2019-11-03
第 8場
2019-11-03沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由G van Niekerk策騎、F C Lor訓練的FLYING VICTORY勝出，贏出SH。REGENCY BO BO獲得亞軍；GUY DRAGON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.0倍大熱門PICKEN跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | FLYING VICTORY 後段發力 H/TT 1.21.16 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 12 | 16.0 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | REGENCY BO BO 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 3.4 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | GUY DRAGON 後段發力 XB/TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 10 | 7.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | PRINCE OF GEMS 早段領放 CP1 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 6 | 5.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | PICKEN J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 3.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | MR ALDAN 後段發力 B/TT W L Ho · A S Cruz | W L Ho | A S Cruz | 11 | 29.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | CLASSIC POSH C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 4 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | MONEY BACK B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND 後段發力 A Sanna · Y S Tsui | A Sanna | Y S Tsui | 3 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | GO BALLISTIC 後段發力 SR1 N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 13 | 127.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | GAYSON B1/XB1 R Bayliss · J Moore | R Bayliss | J Moore | 7 | 81.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | INTERSTELLAR TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 8 | 232.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | JOYFUL MOMENTS B H N Wong · R Gibson | H N Wong | R Gibson | 9 | 125.0 | 10 |
| — | 0 | TRIUMPHANT ARCH M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY ENERGY R Bayliss · J Moore | R Bayliss | J Moore | — | — | — |
| — | 10 | MIGHTY MAVERICK U Rispoli · C Fownes | U Rispoli | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PICKEN | 29.0% | 3.45 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | REGENCY BO BO | 19.0% | 5.26 | 2 |
| 3 | 14 | PRINCE OF GEMS | 12.9% | 7.76 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | GUY DRAGON | 10.9% | 9.18 | 3 |
| 5 | 13 | FLYING VICTORY | 6.0% | 16.72 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | CLASSIC POSH | 5.5% | 18.15 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | MONEY BACK | 4.2% | 23.68 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND | 3.5% | 28.62 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | GO BALLISTIC | 2.3% | 43.47 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | GAYSON | 2.3% | 44.06 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | JOYFUL MOMENTS | 1.9% | 51.71 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | MR ALDAN | 1.9% | 53.74 | 6 |
| 13 | 4 | INTERSTELLAR | 0.6% | 155.54 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 166.5
PLACE
1 21
11 15
13 40.5
QUINELLA
11,13 248
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 51
1,13 179
11,13 75
TIERCE
13,11,1 4,985
TRIO
1,11,13 682
FIRST 4
1,11,13,14 767
QUARTET
13,11,1,14 25,579
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 38.5
A1 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
2/11 243.5
2/13 2,606.5