沙田 · 2019-11-03
第 1場
2019-11-03沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、W Y So訓練的LEISURED FEET勝出，贏出N。KING MORTAR獲得亞軍；KWAI CHUNG ELITE獲得季軍。頭馬以4.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LEISURED FEET SR/TT 1.09.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 4.3 | N |
| 2 | 9 | KING MORTAR V H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 32.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 3 | 7.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | FIRE AND GOLD PC-/B2 U Rispoli · C H Yip | U Rispoli | C H Yip | 5 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | SUREWIN B N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 2 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | FARM BUMPER K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | ADONIS H/P R Bayliss · D J Whyte | R Bayliss | D J Whyte | 10 | 4.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY V-/XB/B2 J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 11 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | STARLOT B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 9.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | NASHASHUK P/TT M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 9 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | MONEY WINNER V-/B2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 94.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | MY DEAR TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 67.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY | 21.0% | 4.76 | 8 |
| 2 | 11 | LEISURED FEET | 15.6% | 6.41 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | STARLOT | 10.9% | 9.15 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | ADONIS | 10.8% | 9.26 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 10.4% | 9.58 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | FARM BUMPER | 7.8% | 12.82 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | NASHASHUK | 6.7% | 14.91 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | SUREWIN | 5.4% | 18.41 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | FIRE AND GOLD | 4.4% | 22.65 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | KING MORTAR | 2.5% | 40.04 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | MY DEAR | 2.5% | 40.62 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | MONEY WINNER | 1.9% | 52.51 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 43.5
PLACE
4 25.5
9 100
11 17.5
QUINELLA
9,11 838.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 496
4,11 60.5
9,11 262.5
TIERCE
11,9,4 10,122
TRIO
4,9,11 1,865
FIRST 4
4,9,10,11 5,898
QUARTET
11,9,4,10 107,472
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 22.5
A3 —