沙田 · 2019-11-03
第 2場
2019-11-03沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的DUKE WAI勝出，贏出1/2。LUCKY MORE獲得亞軍；HERE COMES TED獲得季軍。1.5倍大熱門LUCKY MORE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DUKE WAI B1 0.56.32 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | LUCKY MORE Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 14 | 1.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | HERE COMES TED N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 7 | 167.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | VICTORY POWER B/XB K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 9 | 4.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MOON PEAKS B1/TT1 K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 10 | 44.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | FLYING GENIUS TT1 J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 2 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | VICTORY IN HAND TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 32.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | FLYING MONKEY TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 4 | 58.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | NEXTMODEL H1/XB1 T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 13 | 106.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 14 | EXCEL DELIGHT H M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 3 | 58.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | TAKINGUFURTHER H/V C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 11 | 26.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED H1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 48.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | NICE FANDANGO H/XB U Rispoli · C Fownes | U Rispoli | C Fownes | 6 | 22.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | VICTORY FOR ALL H1 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 249.0 | 11-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FLYING GENIUS | 23.7% | 4.22 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | LUCKY MORE | 17.0% | 5.87 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | VICTORY POWER | 13.8% | 7.24 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | DUKE WAI | 12.8% | 7.82 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 6.2% | 16.23 | 11 |
| 6 | 14 | EXCEL DELIGHT | 5.4% | 18.68 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | HERE COMES TED | 3.7% | 27.01 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | VICTORY IN HAND | 3.5% | 28.36 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | FLYING MONKEY | 3.4% | 29.38 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | MOON PEAKS | 2.8% | 35.33 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | NEXTMODEL | 2.5% | 40.43 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | VICTORY FOR ALL | 1.9% | 52.60 | 14 |
| 13 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 1.9% | 52.93 | 12 |
| 14 | 12 | NICE FANDANGO | 1.4% | 69.23 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 127.5
PLACE
1 23
5 257
6 12
QUINELLA
1,6 90
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 1,260
1,6 34
5,6 359
TIERCE
1,6,5 25,476
TRIO
1,5,6 3,194
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 1,510
QUARTET
1,6,5,2 84,918
1ST DOUBLE
11/1 445.5
11/6 17
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 29.5