沙田 · 2019-11-03
第 9場
2019-11-03沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的CORDYCEPS勝出，贏出3/4。BEAUTY DAY獲得亞軍；DEFINING MOMENT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.3倍大熱門BELLAGIO跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CORDYCEPS 後段發力 B 1.33.30 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY DAY 早段領放 B/H K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 5 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | DEFINING MOMENT 後段發力 B- M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 1 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | PACKING WARRIOR 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | COT CAMPBELL 後段發力 B/XB G van Niekerk · A T Millard | G van Niekerk | A T Millard | 3 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | BELLAGIO B J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 14 | 4.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | SMART PATCH 後段發力 B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | CHAMPION SUPREME B/TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 9 | 4.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | COOL TEAM CP B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | SMILING PRIDE B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | VINCY B/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 13 | 23.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | JIMMU 後段發力 B/SR1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 11 | 206.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT B A Sanna · J Moore | A Sanna | J Moore | 6 | 224.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | UNICRON JEWELLERY B U Rispoli · J Size | U Rispoli | J Size | 12 | 92.0 | 29-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | BELLAGIO | 30.1% | 3.32 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | CORDYCEPS | 8.9% | 11.19 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 8.6% | 11.64 | 8 |
| 4 | 11 | SMART PATCH | 8.2% | 12.19 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY DAY | 8.2% | 12.26 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | VINCY | 7.1% | 14.03 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | COOL TEAM | 6.2% | 16.12 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | COT CAMPBELL | 5.7% | 17.59 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | SMILING PRIDE | 5.2% | 19.16 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | PACKING WARRIOR | 5.1% | 19.66 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | DEFINING MOMENT | 3.7% | 27.12 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | UNICRON JEWELLERY | 2.1% | 48.05 | 14 |
| 13 | 3 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 0.5% | 202.37 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | JIMMU | 0.4% | 226.86 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 118
PLACE
1 32
8 18.5
13 52
QUINELLA
1,8 282
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 96.5
1,13 340
8,13 162.5
TIERCE
1,8,13 9,081
TRIO
1,8,13 2,382
FIRST 4
1,5,8,13 2,402
QUARTET
1,8,13,5 59,802
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 28
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
13/1 2,737
13/8 220