沙田 · 2019-11-03
第 10場
2019-11-03沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、K W Lui訓練的MORE THAN THIS勝出，贏出1。NICCONI EXPRESS獲得亞軍；HAPPY FUN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.5倍大熱門STAR PERFORMANCE跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MORE THAN THIS 後段發力 1.33.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 12 | 5.1 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | NICCONI EXPRESS 後段發力 P1 C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 11 | 26.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | HAPPY FUN 早段領放 B/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 2 | 4.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR 後段發力 XB/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 1 | 20.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | HEZTHEWONFORUS SR B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 6 | 9.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | BAND OF BROTHERS A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 8.9 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | STAR PERFORMANCE 後段發力 H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | EASY GO EASY WIN 後段發力 SR/XB A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 8 | 42.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | ENJOYING B1/XB1 Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 7 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | DANCES WITH DRAGON H/P/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 5 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | THE HULK PC/XB M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 9 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | WIND GLIDER T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 204.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | KING OPIE V G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 3 | 18.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 23.6% | 4.24 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | HAPPY FUN | 16.6% | 6.03 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 16.0% | 6.27 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | ENJOYING | 12.2% | 8.21 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | MORE THAN THIS | 7.8% | 12.75 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | HEZTHEWONFORUS | 5.3% | 18.84 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | NICCONI EXPRESS | 5.1% | 19.58 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | KING OPIE | 3.2% | 31.60 | 13 |
| 9 | 7 | THE HULK | 2.8% | 36.36 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | DANCES WITH DRAGON | 2.3% | 43.34 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 2.2% | 45.53 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | EASY GO EASY WIN | 2.0% | 49.51 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | WIND GLIDER | 1.0% | 97.11 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 51.5
PLACE
9 18.5
10 20.5
11 66
QUINELLA
10,11 1,075.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 59.5
9,11 209.5
10,11 297.5
TIERCE
10,11,9 11,087
TRIO
9,10,11 1,554
FIRST 4
3,9,10,11 7,499
QUARTET
10,11,9,3 183,396
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A2 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,13/9,10,11 371,407
9TH DOUBLE
1/10 929
1/11 1,158.5
SIX UP
2,7/1,6/2,5/11,13/1,8/10,11 29,819
3 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
13/1/10 14,546
13/1/11 15,348