Sha Tin · 2019-11-03
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-03 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CORDYCEPS, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with BEAUTY DAY second and DEFINING MOMENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite BELLAGIO finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CORDYCEPS Closed strongly B 1.33.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY DAY Led early B/H K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 5 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | DEFINING MOMENT Closed strongly B- M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 1 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | PACKING WARRIOR Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | COT CAMPBELL Closed strongly B/XB G van Niekerk · A T Millard | G van Niekerk | A T Millard | 3 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | BELLAGIO B J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 14 | 4.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | SMART PATCH Closed strongly B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | CHAMPION SUPREME B/TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 9 | 4.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | COOL TEAM CP B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | SMILING PRIDE B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | VINCY B/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 13 | 23.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | JIMMU Closed strongly B/SR1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 11 | 206.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT B A Sanna · J Moore | A Sanna | J Moore | 6 | 224.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | UNICRON JEWELLERY B U Rispoli · J Size | U Rispoli | J Size | 12 | 92.0 | 29-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | BELLAGIO | 30.1% | 3.32 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | CORDYCEPS | 8.9% | 11.19 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 8.6% | 11.64 | 8 |
| 4 | 11 | SMART PATCH | 8.2% | 12.19 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY DAY | 8.2% | 12.26 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | VINCY | 7.1% | 14.03 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | COOL TEAM | 6.2% | 16.12 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | COT CAMPBELL | 5.7% | 17.59 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | SMILING PRIDE | 5.2% | 19.16 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | PACKING WARRIOR | 5.1% | 19.66 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | DEFINING MOMENT | 3.7% | 27.12 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | UNICRON JEWELLERY | 2.1% | 48.05 | 14 |
| 13 | 3 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 0.5% | 202.37 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | JIMMU | 0.4% | 226.86 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 118
PLACE
1 32
8 18.5
13 52
QUINELLA
1,8 282
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 96.5
1,13 340
8,13 162.5
TIERCE
1,8,13 9,081
TRIO
1,8,13 2,382
FIRST 4
1,5,8,13 2,402
QUARTET
1,8,13,5 59,802
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 28
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
13/1 2,737
13/8 220