Sha Tin · 2019-11-03
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SOUTHERN LEGEND Closed strongly V 1.45.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Sanna · C Fownes | A Sanna | C Fownes | 9 | 28.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | TIME WARP Led early TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 11 | 9.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | EXULTANT Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SACRED CAPITAL P- W L Ho · J Lau | W L Ho | J Lau | 7 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | CITRON SPIRIT Closed strongly H/XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 45.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | EAGLE WAY B/TT G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 5 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HO HO KHAN Closed strongly C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 6 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FURORE B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 4.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE H1/SR1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 112.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | SINGAPORE SLING SR/XB C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 10 | 26.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | DARK DREAM CP1 J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 2 | 4.7 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-03 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SOUTHERN LEGEND, ridden by A Sanna and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with TIME WARP second and EXULTANT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite EXULTANT finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXULTANT | 45.4% | 2.20 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | DARK DREAM | 26.8% | 3.73 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | FURORE | 8.8% | 11.42 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | TIME WARP | 3.5% | 28.81 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | HO HO KHAN | 3.0% | 32.89 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | SOUTHERN LEGEND | 2.9% | 34.39 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | SINGAPORE SLING | 2.3% | 43.36 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | CITRON SPIRIT | 2.3% | 43.48 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE | 1.9% | 53.72 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | EAGLE WAY | 1.6% | 62.85 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | SACRED CAPITAL | 1.6% | 63.37 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 281.5
PLACE
1 13.5
2 59
5 30
QUINELLA
2,5 1,156
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 104.5
1,5 58.5
2,5 230.5
TIERCE
2,5,1 8,807
TRIO
1,2,5 886
FIRST 4
1,2,5,11 3,165
QUARTET
2,5,1,11 113,732
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,6/1,2,5 6,988
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 46
A2 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
6/2 926.5
6/5 50.5
WINNING TRAINER
B2 —
B1 —
B3 35