Happy Valley · 2020-04-15
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LASTING FRIENDSHIP Closed strongly P- 1.40.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · L Ho | A Hamelin | L Ho | 2 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | TUNG WAH GLORY Closed strongly P Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 10 | 4.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | METHANE Closed strongly B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 9 | 5.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | ORIENTAL ELITE K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 36.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY Led early H/P/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 3 | 23.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · K H Ting | J Moreira | K H Ting | 4 | 2.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 8 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BULB ELITE C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 5 | 8.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SPEED FORCE Closed strongly B/XB/H1 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 1 | 192.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | PERFECT HARMONY B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 6 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | FRESH POWER Closed strongly B/TT H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 240.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | BREEDERS' SKY B-/H2 V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 7 | 77.0 | 8-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LASTING FRIENDSHIP, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by L Ho, won by N, with TUNG WAH GLORY second and METHANE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite TRIUMPHANT HORSE finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE | 22.5% | 4.45 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | TUNG WAH GLORY | 18.0% | 5.55 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | BULB ELITE | 13.1% | 7.63 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | LASTING FRIENDSHIP | 12.6% | 7.95 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON | 12.1% | 8.24 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | METHANE | 8.6% | 11.57 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT HARMONY | 3.6% | 27.96 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | ORIENTAL ELITE | 3.5% | 28.58 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | BREEDERS' SKY | 2.2% | 45.42 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 2.0% | 50.34 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | FRESH POWER | 1.2% | 81.08 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 0.6% | 171.13 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 120
PLACE
3 17.5
5 19
7 35
QUINELLA
3,7 328.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 49
3,7 99.5
5,7 77.5
TIERCE
7,3,5 3,720
TRIO
3,5,7 540
FIRST 4
1,3,5,7 2,989
QUARTET
7,3,5,1 73,516
2ND DOUBLE
10/3 12
10/7 371
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 42
A1 —