Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2020-04-15

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.10.12
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 COMPASSION SPIRIT 1.10.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man 3 1.8 3/4
2 0 YEE CHEONG PEGASUS XB/TT C Schofield · A T Millard 9 4.4 3/4
3 0 MONKEY JEWELLERY J Moreira · J Size 10 19.0 2
4 0 FIRST RESPONDER CP/TT B Shinn · J Moore 4 18.0 2-1/2
5 0 LADY FIRST XB/H2/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 12 13.0 4
6 0 INTERSTELLAR H/TT N Callan · K W Lui 1 29.0 4-1/4
7 0 FANTASTIC FABIO V Borges · C H Yip 11 80.0 4-1/4
8 0 ALL WONGCHOY V/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum 5 14.0 4-1/2
9 0 MULTIMAX B C Wong · L Ho 6 35.0 4-1/2
10 0 KING'S TROOPER B1 K C Leung · P F Yiu 7 14.0 5
11 0 SWEETLY BABY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 2 31.0 5-1/4
12 0 ROCKET HAMMER M L Yeung · K H Ting 8 411.0 10-3/4
— 0 PRINCE HARMONY H N Wong · W Y So — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. COMPASSION SPIRIT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 3/4, with YEE CHEONG PEGASUS second and MONKEY JEWELLERY third. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COMPASSION SPIRIT—2. YEE CHEONG PEGASUS+0.75L3. MONKEY JEWELLERY+2L4. FIRST RESPONDER+2.5L5. LADY FIRST+4L6. INTERSTELLAR+4.25L7. FANTASTIC FABIO+4.25L8. ALL WONGCHOY+4.5L9. MULTIMAX+4.5L10. KING'S TROOPER+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick COMPASSION SPIRIT (22.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 COMPASSION SPIRIT 22.9% 4.37 1
2 0 YEE CHEONG PEGASUS 18.9% 5.29 2
3 0 MONKEY JEWELLERY 14.6% 6.83 3
4 0 INTERSTELLAR 9.1% 10.98 6
5 0 ALL WONGCHOY 8.7% 11.45 8
6 0 SWEETLY BABY 7.5% 13.27 11
7 0 KING'S TROOPER 6.1% 16.35 10
8 0 LADY FIRST 5.5% 18.23 5
9 0 MULTIMAX 2.8% 36.13 9
10 0 FANTASTIC FABIO 1.9% 51.95 7
11 0 FIRST RESPONDER 1.4% 71.55 4
12 0 ROCKET HAMMER 0.5% 205.87 12
COMPASSION SPIRIT — wonYEE CHEONG PEGASUSMONKEY JEWELLERYINTERSTELLARALL WONGCHOYSWEETLY BABYKING'S TROOPERLADY FIRSTMULTIMAXFANTASTIC FABIOFIRST RESPONDERROCKET HAMMER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 18

PLACE

2 32.5

8 15.5

10 10.5

QUINELLA

8,10 42

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 82.5

2,10 66.5

8,10 20.5

TIERCE

10,8,2 451

TRIO

2,8,10 138

FIRST 4

1,2,8,10 351

QUARTET

10,8,2,1 3,895

1ST DOUBLE

6/8 60

6/10 206

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 12.5