跑馬地 · 2020-04-15
第 2場
2020-04-15跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K L Man訓練的COMPASSION SPIRIT勝出，贏出3/4。YEE CHEONG PEGASUS獲得亞軍；MONKEY JEWELLERY獲得季軍。頭馬以1.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | COMPASSION SPIRIT 1.10.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 3 | 1.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | YEE CHEONG PEGASUS XB/TT C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 9 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | MONKEY JEWELLERY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | FIRST RESPONDER CP/TT B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 4 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | LADY FIRST XB/H2/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | INTERSTELLAR H/TT N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 1 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | FANTASTIC FABIO V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 11 | 80.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | ALL WONGCHOY V/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 5 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | MULTIMAX B C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 6 | 35.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | KING'S TROOPER B1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | SWEETLY BABY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 31.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | ROCKET HAMMER M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 411.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | PRINCE HARMONY H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 22.9% | 4.37 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | YEE CHEONG PEGASUS | 18.9% | 5.29 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | MONKEY JEWELLERY | 14.6% | 6.83 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | INTERSTELLAR | 9.1% | 10.98 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | ALL WONGCHOY | 8.7% | 11.45 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | SWEETLY BABY | 7.5% | 13.27 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | KING'S TROOPER | 6.1% | 16.35 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | LADY FIRST | 5.5% | 18.23 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | MULTIMAX | 2.8% | 36.13 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 1.9% | 51.95 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | FIRST RESPONDER | 1.4% | 71.55 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | ROCKET HAMMER | 0.5% | 205.87 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 18
PLACE
2 32.5
8 15.5
10 10.5
QUINELLA
8,10 42
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 82.5
2,10 66.5
8,10 20.5
TIERCE
10,8,2 451
TRIO
2,8,10 138
FIRST 4
1,2,8,10 351
QUARTET
10,8,2,1 3,895
1ST DOUBLE
6/8 60
6/10 206
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 12.5
A2 —