跑馬地 · 2020-04-15
第 6場
2020-04-15跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Wong策騎、F C Lor訓練的BEAUTY SPARK勝出，贏出1。CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT獲得亞軍；SHOUSON獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BEAUTY SPARK B/TT 1.09.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 4 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 9 | 2.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | SHOUSON B Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 6 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | VICTORY IN HAND TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 2 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | WIND N GRASS TT C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 7 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | WHISKEY NEAT B/TT K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 12 | 102.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | MOST BEAUTIFUL B/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 3 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | CHARIZARD B/TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 1 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | BIG BANG BONG TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 137.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | VERY RICH MAN H V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 10 | 65.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | CHIKORITA CP-/TT- H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 8 | 331.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | HOME MADE B/XB1/TT2 M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 5 | 147.0 | 6-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SHINING GEM C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 27.0% | 3.71 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | VICTORY IN HAND | 20.1% | 4.98 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | SHOUSON | 17.6% | 5.70 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | BEAUTY SPARK | 15.0% | 6.67 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | MOST BEAUTIFUL | 7.6% | 13.16 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | CHARIZARD | 3.4% | 29.43 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | WIND N GRASS | 3.1% | 32.43 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | VERY RICH MAN | 1.8% | 54.64 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | WHISKEY NEAT | 1.6% | 62.92 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | HOME MADE | 1.3% | 79.23 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | BIG BANG BONG | 1.0% | 97.70 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | CHIKORITA | 0.6% | 162.56 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 111
PLACE
2 11
3 19
7 24
QUINELLA
2,7 98
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 32.5
2,7 35
3,7 66.5
TIERCE
7,2,3 1,461
TRIO
2,3,7 152
FIRST 4
2,3,7,11 85
QUARTET
7,2,3,11 3,174
3 PICK 1
A2 22
A1 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
6/2 16.5
6/7 248.5