跑馬地 · 2020-04-15
第 8場
2020-04-15跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P F Yiu訓練的ISLAND SHINE勝出，贏出NOSE。WINNING METHOD獲得亞軍；VICTORY POWER獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門VICTORY POWER跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ISLAND SHINE B 1.09.33 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 10 | 9.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 1 | WINNING METHOD TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 5 | 4.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 8 | VICTORY POWER B/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 1 | 3.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | SHAMPORT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | MIG ENERGY TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | SUPERB DADDY B1 M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 11 | 34.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | G UNIT C Schofield · J Moore | C Schofield | J Moore | 7 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | AMAZING KNIGHT E1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 12 | 46.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | FANTASTIC FEELING N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 4 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | TELECOM PUMA TT B Shinn · K H Ting | B Shinn | K H Ting | 2 | 8.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | CONFUCIUS DAY B/TT C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 9 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 0 | MERIDIAN GENIUS J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | VICTORY POWER | 19.9% | 5.03 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | ISLAND SHINE | 14.5% | 6.91 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | AMAZING KNIGHT | 12.5% | 7.99 | 8 |
| 4 | 6 | MIG ENERGY | 11.2% | 8.90 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | WINNING METHOD | 10.8% | 9.30 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | G UNIT | 8.3% | 12.01 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | CONFUCIUS DAY | 7.3% | 13.73 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | SHAMPORT | 4.1% | 24.30 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | HINCHINLOVE | 3.4% | 29.38 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | TELECOM PUMA | 2.8% | 35.89 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPERB DADDY | 2.8% | 35.90 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | FANTASTIC FEELING | 2.4% | 41.00 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 90.5
PLACE
1 16
7 28.5
8 15.5
QUINELLA
1,7 226
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 87
1,8 33.5
7,8 74.5
TIERCE
7,1,8 1,918
TRIO
1,7,8 213
FIRST 4
1,7,8,10 540
QUARTET
7,1,8,10 16,149
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 37
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
5/1 72
5/7 577.5