跑馬地 · 2020-04-15
第 4場
2020-04-15跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H T Mo策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的SKY TREASURE勝出，贏出3/4。THE RUNNER獲得亞軍；OVERSUBSCRIBED獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門HAPPY GOOD GUYS跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SKY TREASURE H 1.09.68 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 39.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | THE RUNNER B-/SR1 A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 1 | 6.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED H/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 5.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS V C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | VICTORY MASTERY PC J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 7.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | EVERBRAVE B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 5 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | SHANGHAI MASTER Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 4.7 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | WINS ALL CP1 M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 7 | 97.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | GALLANT LEGACY SR/TT V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 12 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | PLAY TO WIN H/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 9 | 26.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | TELECOM MISSILE T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 10 | 64.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | PROMISE KEPT XB/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 3 | 69.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | VICTORY MASTERY | 23.5% | 4.26 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 20.4% | 4.90 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | THE RUNNER | 14.8% | 6.77 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | SHANGHAI MASTER | 12.2% | 8.20 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 9.9% | 10.10 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | GALLANT LEGACY | 5.1% | 19.54 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | PROMISE KEPT | 3.7% | 27.12 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | EVERBRAVE | 2.8% | 35.26 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | TELECOM MISSILE | 2.3% | 42.92 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | PLAY TO WIN | 2.3% | 44.32 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | SKY TREASURE | 1.9% | 52.26 | 1 |
| 12 | 6 | WINS ALL | 1.1% | 89.97 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 398
PLACE
3 21.5
10 19
11 103.5
QUINELLA
3,11 1,114.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 58.5
3,11 282.5
10,11 279.5
TIERCE
11,3,10 12,922
TRIO
3,10,11 1,471
FIRST 4
1,3,10,11 1,088
QUARTET
11,3,10,1 49,002
3 PICK 1
A3 49.5
A1 —
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
7/3 162.5
7/11 6,104.5