跑馬地 · 2020-04-15
第 5場
2020-04-15跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA RAD勝出，贏出1-3/4。SUPER LUCKY獲得亞軍；THE ABRAXAS獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門SUPER WINNER跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CALIFORNIA RAD CP-/B1/TT 1.09.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER LUCKY B/H/XB N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 11 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | THE ABRAXAS B V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 2 | 7.8 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | ALL YOU KNOW B/H/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 10 | 42.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SMART OF YOUTH TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 4 | 30.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SUPER WINNER H/TT J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 5 | 2.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | SNORLAX SR1 K C Leung · D E Ferraris | K C Leung | D E Ferraris | 12 | 248.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | KING'S RACE B/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 9 | 8.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | EXCEPTIONAL DESIRE B K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 6 | 7.7 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | TOP MILITARY P1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 1 | 129.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 1 | MAGIC SUPREME TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 8 | 25.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 7 | STAR OF THEHARBOUR XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 7 | 68.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SUPER WINNER | 31.8% | 3.15 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 19.1% | 5.24 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | EXCEPTIONAL DESIRE | 9.8% | 10.19 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER LUCKY | 9.0% | 11.16 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | KING'S RACE | 8.1% | 12.39 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | THE ABRAXAS | 7.6% | 13.24 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | SMART OF YOUTH | 6.1% | 16.41 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | ALL YOU KNOW | 3.8% | 26.04 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | MAGIC SUPREME | 3.6% | 27.88 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | TOP MILITARY | 0.7% | 136.29 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | SNORLAX | 0.5% | 199.06 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 37.5
PLACE
3 39
6 13.5
12 23
QUINELLA
3,6 257
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 76
3,12 187
6,12 50
TIERCE
6,3,12 2,503
TRIO
3,6,12 515
FIRST 4
3,5,6,12 2,386
QUARTET
6,3,12,5 28,404
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,10,11/3,6,12 295,892
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
11/3 1,484
11/6 2,099.5