Happy Valley · 2020-05-06
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | REEL BIZZY Closed strongly B 1.39.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 5.5 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT Led early H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 10 | 14.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE Closed strongly CP C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 8.8 | SH |
| 4 | 0 | BEST ALLIANCE Closed strongly XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 8 | 4.2 | N |
| 5 | 0 | CHAIRMAN LO B M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 1 | 7.4 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.1 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHARIZARD B-/TT K C Leung · D E Ferraris | K C Leung | D E Ferraris | 3 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUCH A HAPPINESS Closed strongly B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 6 | 5.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | ENFOLDING V A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 2 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | UNICORNBABY B/TT T H So · R Gibson | T H So | R Gibson | 7 | 48.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SONIC FIGHTER B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 38.0 | 3-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-05-06 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. REEL BIZZY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with MAGNIFICENT second and ALPHA HEDGE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite BEST ALLIANCE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEST ALLIANCE | 24.4% | 4.10 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | REEL BIZZY | 18.0% | 5.55 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | CHAIRMAN LO | 11.7% | 8.52 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 11.2% | 8.90 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE | 8.9% | 11.23 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SUCH A HAPPINESS | 6.9% | 14.46 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | ENFOLDING | 5.9% | 17.05 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 5.7% | 17.52 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 3.2% | 31.14 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | UNICORNBABY | 2.0% | 48.84 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SONIC FIGHTER | 1.9% | 51.45 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 55
PLACE
2 41
3 19
5 28.5
QUINELLA
2,3 403.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 114
2,5 211.5
3,5 85
TIERCE
3,2,5 5,763
TRIO
2,3,5 1,075
FIRST 4
2,3,5,8 914
QUARTET
3,2,5,8 23,147
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,8/2,3,5 20,945
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 24
6TH DOUBLE
2/2 197.5
2/3 442
TRIPLE TRIO
3,9>1,8/2,3,8/2,3,5 2,184,026
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,9>1,8/2,3,8/Any Combination 1,702