Happy Valley · 2020-05-06
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DANCES WITH DRAGON Closed strongly V/TT 1.39.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 7 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | ENRICHMENT Closed strongly B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE Closed strongly N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 9.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | GLORIOUS ARTIST Closed strongly C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 81.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY DRAGON Closed strongly H M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 4 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR CP/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 24.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | GREEN LUCK V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 2 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY FUN B/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 10 | 7.2 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HEZTHEWONFORUS SR C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 5 | 6.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MISSION TYCOON Led early B/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 3 | 39.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | PRIVATE SECRETARY H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 12.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | FLYING QUEST M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2020-05-06 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DANCES WITH DRAGON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with ENRICHMENT second and INSAYSHABLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ENRICHMENT | 18.2% | 5.51 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | DANCES WITH DRAGON | 17.2% | 5.82 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY FUN | 14.7% | 6.82 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 12.7% | 7.89 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | HEZTHEWONFORUS | 8.1% | 12.38 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | PRIVATE SECRETARY | 8.0% | 12.56 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY DRAGON | 6.2% | 16.16 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE | 4.9% | 20.46 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | GREEN LUCK | 3.1% | 31.80 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 2.7% | 37.37 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | MISSION TYCOON | 2.5% | 40.33 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR | 1.9% | 53.21 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 41.5
PLACE
1 18
2 33.5
8 26.5
QUINELLA
1,8 137.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 88
1,8 48
2,8 136.5
TIERCE
1,8,2 1,810
TRIO
1,2,8 467
FIRST 4
1,2,8,11 758
QUARTET
1,8,2,11 13,236
3 PICK 1
A1 31
A2 —
A3 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,9/1,2,8 8,835
8TH DOUBLE
9/1 209
9/8 50.5
SIX UP
5/3/2/3/9/1 1,045,237
5,9/3,9/2,8/2,3/4,9/1,8 9,651
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
3/9/1 1,320
3/9/8 317