Happy Valley · 2020-05-13
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COMPASSION SPIRIT 1.10.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 10 | 3.1 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HONEST WAY B-/CP2 B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 3 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR CP-/SR1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | THOU SHALL SING B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 4.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY V-/TT K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 7 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO B/XB C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 11 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY WINNER H M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 9 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SOLAR VICTORY V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 4 | 57.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | MAGIC SUPREME XB-/CP1/TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 1 | 8.1 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ROSSE SCARPE XB1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 77.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2020-05-13 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. COMPASSION SPIRIT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 2, with HONEST WAY second and MASTER ALBERT third. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 25.4% | 3.93 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | THOU SHALL SING | 15.6% | 6.42 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO | 11.5% | 8.73 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | MAGIC SUPREME | 10.1% | 9.91 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | HONEST WAY | 9.9% | 10.08 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | MASTER ALBERT | 8.2% | 12.15 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR | 5.7% | 17.68 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY WINNER | 4.3% | 23.16 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | ROSSE SCARPE | 3.9% | 25.60 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 3.9% | 25.64 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | SOLAR VICTORY | 1.5% | 65.72 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 31
PLACE
1 15
2 33.5
3 16.5
QUINELLA
1,3 82
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 129.5
1,3 36.5
2,3 71
TIERCE
3,1,2 1,043
TRIO
1,2,3 297
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 562
QUARTET
3,1,2,4 6,720
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 31
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
1/1 161
1/3,6 289.5