Happy Valley · 2020-05-13
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY HAPPY Closed strongly B 1.49.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 7 | 29.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | BLASTOISE Closed strongly SR A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 3 | 8.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 4 | 23.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | GOOD OMEN V-/SR2 Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 8 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS Led early B/XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.7 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 9.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | ABOVE B J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 9 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | VINCY XB/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 5 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE B/H/XB/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 10 | 42.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN Closed strongly TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 12 | 81.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | STIMULATION B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 11 | 20.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-05-13 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY HAPPY, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Moore, won by N, with BLASTOISE second and GOLDEN SPECTRUM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite WORLD FAMOUS finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 21.2% | 4.71 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | ABOVE | 21.0% | 4.76 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS | 9.2% | 10.84 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT | 7.7% | 12.95 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 7.1% | 14.18 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | STIMULATION | 6.8% | 14.65 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | GOOD OMEN | 6.7% | 15.00 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 4.8% | 20.67 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN | 4.8% | 20.92 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 4.4% | 22.49 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | VINCY | 3.8% | 26.08 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAUTY HAPPY | 2.4% | 42.24 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 296.5
PLACE
3 63
8 24
12 85.5
QUINELLA
8,12 1,633
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 231
3,12 947.5
8,12 425
TIERCE
12,8,3 68,721
TRIO
3,8,12 7,369
FIRST 4
2,3,8,12 11,724
QUARTET
12,8,3,2 455,092
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 29
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/8 39
1/12 1,119.5