Happy Valley · 2020-05-13
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR Closed strongly TT 1.39.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 2 | 21.0 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS Closed strongly B B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 6 | 19.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 3 | 3.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS Led early B/TT C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 1 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 5 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE H/V Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 4 | 2.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS MATE Closed strongly K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 11 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ROMAN IMPERO B C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 7 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | STAR MAJESTIC B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HOME MADE B/XB/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 26.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE Closed strongly M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 12 | 143.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | GALAXY EMPEROR CP/H/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 9 | 30.0 | 20-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-05-13 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. INDIGENOUS STAR, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C W Chang, won by HD, with CHARITY WINGS second and COURAGEOUS DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite SUMSTREETSUMWHERE finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON | 35.3% | 2.83 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 17.1% | 5.85 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS | 10.1% | 9.91 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING | 9.3% | 10.74 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | HOME MADE | 5.7% | 17.61 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | ROMAN IMPERO | 5.3% | 19.02 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | STAR MAJESTIC | 3.9% | 25.58 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 3.8% | 26.15 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS MATE | 3.3% | 30.41 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS | 3.0% | 33.43 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 2.2% | 45.83 | 1 |
| 12 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE | 1.1% | 94.88 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 213.5
PLACE
1 46.5
8 42
11 13.5
QUINELLA
1,8 1,664.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 364
1,11 92.5
8,11 108.5
TIERCE
8,1,11 15,287
TRIO
1,8,11 1,407
FIRST 4
1,8,10,11 3,401
QUARTET
8,1,11,10 132,598
1ST DOUBLE
11/1 746.5
11/8 3,042.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 33
A1 —
A2 —