Happy Valley · 2020-10-21
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT Closed strongly B 1.39.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 1 | 5.3 | N |
| 2 | 0 | REEL BIZZY Closed strongly B Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 3.4 | N |
| 3 | 0 | LIGHTNING STEED Led early TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 6 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WEALTHY DELIGHT Closed strongly E- V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | EVER LAUGH B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 2 | 30.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN Closed strongly TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 5 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS Closed strongly H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SURREALISM B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 4 | 7.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 10 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MAGNETISM Closed strongly B/TT H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 12 | 106.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | ENTRUSTED CP1 A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 11 | 9.5 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | FLASHCARD B1/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 7 | 53.0 | 13-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-10-21 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HEAVENLY THOUGHT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with REEL BIZZY second and LIGHTNING STEED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite REEL BIZZY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 27.5% | 3.64 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | LIGHTNING STEED | 18.3% | 5.47 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | REEL BIZZY | 17.1% | 5.85 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS | 8.6% | 11.59 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | ENTRUSTED | 6.0% | 16.71 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | WEALTHY DELIGHT | 5.6% | 17.73 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN | 4.7% | 21.29 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | SURREALISM | 4.7% | 21.32 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 3.5% | 28.21 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 1.8% | 54.96 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | MAGNETISM | 1.3% | 76.93 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | FLASHCARD | 0.8% | 120.08 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 53
PLACE
2 16
5 16.5
7 19.5
QUINELLA
2,7 114
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 39.5
2,7 45.5
5,7 35.5
FORECAST
7,2 251
TIERCE
7,2,5 483
TRIO
2,5,7 100
FIRST 4
2,5,7,9 464
QUARTET
7,2,5,9 8,284
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 27
6TH DOUBLE
1/2 53
1/7 320.5