Happy Valley · 2020-10-21
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR Closed strongly TT 1.40.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | WINNERS BROTHER B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 8 | 27.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | TREASURE CHEST B/XB V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 10 | 8.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | POLYMER LUCK B K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 2 | 8.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS B/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 1 | 6.9 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | KEEP WINNING Closed strongly TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 12 | 39.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER Closed strongly H/XB/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 7.6 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | JOY AVENUE XB2 B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 4 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | WONDER WIN Closed strongly H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SWEETLY BABY B/H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 6.6 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MY FAMILY H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 15.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | KANBEKI MOLLY Led early SR C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 3 | 41.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-10-21 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. VIRTUS STAR, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with WINNERS BROTHER second and TREASURE CHEST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 21.0% | 4.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SWEETLY BABY | 15.9% | 6.31 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS | 11.3% | 8.83 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | TREASURE CHEST | 11.1% | 9.01 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 8.8% | 11.38 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | POLYMER LUCK | 7.2% | 13.82 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | WONDER WIN | 6.7% | 14.83 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | KEEP WINNING | 5.8% | 17.13 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | WINNERS BROTHER | 4.0% | 24.99 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | MY FAMILY | 3.8% | 26.61 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | KANBEKI MOLLY | 2.6% | 38.49 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | JOY AVENUE | 1.8% | 56.73 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 30
PLACE
9 29.5
11 75
12 14
QUINELLA
11,12 381.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 317
9,12 53.5
11,12 111
FORECAST
12,11 529
TIERCE
12,11,9 4,369
TRIO
9,11,12 1,011
FIRST 4
4,9,11,12 2,135
QUARTET
12,11,9,4 43,887
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/11 212
3/12 203
3 PICK 1
A1 21
A3 —
A2 —