跑馬地 · 2020-10-21
第 2場
2020-10-21跑馬地第2場，Class 5，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Badel策騎、F C Lor訓練的VIRTUS STAR勝出，贏出3/4。WINNERS BROTHER獲得亞軍；TREASURE CHEST獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | VIRTUS STAR 後段發力 TT 1.40.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | WINNERS BROTHER B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 8 | 27.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | TREASURE CHEST B/XB V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 10 | 8.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | POLYMER LUCK B K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 2 | 8.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | NITRO EXPRESS B/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 1 | 6.9 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | KEEP WINNING 後段發力 TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 12 | 39.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | WONDERFUL TIGER 後段發力 H/XB/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 7.6 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | JOY AVENUE XB2 B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 4 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | WONDER WIN 後段發力 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | SWEETLY BABY B/H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 6.6 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | MY FAMILY H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 15.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | KANBEKI MOLLY 早段領放 SR C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 3 | 41.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | VIRTUS STAR | 21.0% | 4.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | SWEETLY BABY | 15.9% | 6.31 | 10 |
| 3 | 6 | NITRO EXPRESS | 11.3% | 8.83 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | TREASURE CHEST | 11.1% | 9.01 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 8.8% | 11.38 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | POLYMER LUCK | 7.2% | 13.82 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | WONDER WIN | 6.7% | 14.83 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | KEEP WINNING | 5.8% | 17.13 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | WINNERS BROTHER | 4.0% | 24.99 | 2 |
| 10 | 1 | MY FAMILY | 3.8% | 26.61 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | KANBEKI MOLLY | 2.6% | 38.49 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | JOY AVENUE | 1.8% | 56.73 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 30
PLACE
9 29.5
11 75
12 14
QUINELLA
11,12 381.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 317
9,12 53.5
11,12 111
FORECAST
12,11 529
TIERCE
12,11,9 4,369
TRIO
9,11,12 1,011
FIRST 4
4,9,11,12 2,135
QUARTET
12,11,9,4 43,887
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
3/11 212
3/12 203
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 21