跑馬地 · 2020-10-21
第 1場
2020-10-21跑馬地第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由N Callan策騎、D E Ferraris訓練的WINNING FEELING勝出，贏出2-1/4。COURAGEOUS DRAGON獲得亞軍；GREAT SON獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門NAMJONG SINGS跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINNING FEELING B 1.09.16 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 4 | 5.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON B/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | GREAT SON V/TT C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | NAMJONG SINGS B Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 2.5 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | FORZA ANGEL B- K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 6.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | STREET SCREAM B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 1 | 7.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | ENCHANTING J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | MANY GAINS V V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 2 | 80.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | UNIVERSAL RECORD A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 3 | 25.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | TOP MILITARY B K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 23.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 52.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | CLUB LAD B T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 12 | 121.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ENCHANTING | 21.9% | 4.56 | 7 |
| 2 | 12 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON | 16.1% | 6.21 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | FORZA ANGEL | 15.1% | 6.63 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | NAMJONG SINGS | 14.4% | 6.96 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | STREET SCREAM | 9.2% | 10.90 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | WINNING FEELING | 7.2% | 13.91 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | MANY GAINS | 4.7% | 21.18 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | GREAT SON | 3.5% | 28.17 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 3.1% | 32.73 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | TOP MILITARY | 3.0% | 32.93 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | UNIVERSAL RECORD | 1.0% | 102.36 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | CLUB LAD | 0.8% | 119.29 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 53.5
PLACE
3 16
11 45.5
12 31
QUINELLA
3,12 288.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 113.5
3,12 86.5
11,12 200
FORECAST
3,12 605
TIERCE
3,12,11 5,284
TRIO
3,11,12 1,301
FIRST 4
1,3,11,12 523
QUARTET
3,12,11,1 17,907
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 23.5
A1 —