跑馬地 · 2020-10-21
第 6場
2020-10-21跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、C Fownes訓練的EXPLOSIVE WITNESS勝出，贏出SH。FABULOUS EIGHT獲得亞軍；HEART CONQUERED獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門HARMONY AND RICH跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS 0.56.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 10 | 7.4 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 11 | 5.0 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | HEART CONQUERED TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 12 | 9.5 | SH |
| 4 | 5 | HARMONY AND RICH Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 9 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | PING HAI GALAXY A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | EXCEED THE STARS B1 H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 5 | 39.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | THOU SHALL SING B M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 7 | 34.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | MOMENT OF POWER B C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 8.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H1/TT1 K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 2 | 9.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | MR LUMIERES H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 4 | 48.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | GOLFMAN STAR M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 8 | 83.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | LITTLE BIRD V K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 1 | 14.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 23.4% | 4.28 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | HARMONY AND RICH | 20.9% | 4.78 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 17.9% | 5.59 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | THOU SHALL SING | 9.2% | 10.83 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | HEART CONQUERED | 6.2% | 16.09 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | LITTLE BIRD | 6.2% | 16.10 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | PING HAI GALAXY | 5.8% | 17.13 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 2.6% | 37.96 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | EXCEED THE STARS | 2.6% | 38.12 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | MOMENT OF POWER | 2.0% | 49.94 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | GOLFMAN STAR | 1.9% | 52.73 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | MR LUMIERES | 1.2% | 83.83 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 74
PLACE
1 18.5
9 24.5
10 21
QUINELLA
1,10 155
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 92
1,10 53
9,10 84.5
FORECAST
1,10 336
TIERCE
1,10,9 2,158
TRIO
1,9,10 534
FIRST 4
1,5,9,10 244
QUARTET
1,10,9,5 7,068
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,11>3,8,10/1,9,10 33,902
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 23
5TH DOUBLE
3,8,10/1 134.5
3,8,10/10 22.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,12/4,11>3,8,10/1,9,10 1,659,046
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,12/4,11>3,8,10/Any Combination 3,055