跑馬地 · 2020-10-21
第 5場
2020-10-21跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、C H Yip訓練的MURRAY'S PARTNERS勝出，贏出N。ANONYMA獲得亞軍；RIGHT HONOURABLE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS 後段發力 V 1.40.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 3 | 2.1 | N |
| 2 | 11 | ANONYMA 早段領放 H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 7 | 29.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | RIGHT HONOURABLE 後段發力 H/P/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 11 | 5.2 | N |
| 4 | 2 | ELIGERE B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 9 | 9.2 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | DAILY BEAUTY 後段發力 TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 1 | 4.3 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | STAR PRESENT B/TT V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 4 | 44.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | STAR WIN CP M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 5 | 60.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | CHARITY WINGS 後段發力 B A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 16.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | GREAT TIMES B1 H N Wong · K L Man | H N Wong | K L Man | 2 | 120.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING B/TT A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 8 | 14.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 8 | LUCKY MISSILE N Callan · D J Hall | N Callan | D J Hall | — | — | — |
| — | 10 | THIS IS CHARISMA M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DAILY BEAUTY | 29.4% | 3.40 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 23.9% | 4.18 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | ELIGERE | 20.1% | 4.98 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 9.5% | 10.51 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | ANONYMA | 5.0% | 19.87 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING | 3.8% | 26.01 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | CHARITY WINGS | 3.2% | 31.60 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | GREAT TIMES | 2.2% | 44.77 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | STAR WIN | 1.4% | 70.10 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | STAR PRESENT | 1.4% | 70.95 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 21
PLACE
3 11
4 14.5
11 48
QUINELLA
3,11 295
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 23
3,11 91
4,11 151.5
FORECAST
3,11 320
TIERCE
3,11,4 1,778
TRIO
3,4,11 403
FIRST 4
2,3,4,11 573
QUARTET
3,11,4,2 10,162
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/3,8,10 150
2/11 418