Sha Tin · 2020-11-04
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT 1.40.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.7 | N |
| 2 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 5.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 2 | 2.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT Closed strongly XB2 C Schofield · D E Ferraris | C Schofield | D E Ferraris | 7 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | PARTY GENIUS XB/B1 A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 4 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT P M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER Closed strongly B-/P1/TT K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 9 | 89.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 5 | 30.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 40.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | CHAIRMAN LO Closed strongly B T Piccone · J Size | T Piccone | J Size | 12 | 85.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | URBAN DANCER TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 16.0 | 15 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-04 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. PARTY EVERYDAY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with DOUBLE TAKE second and SKYEY SUPREME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite SKYEY SUPREME finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 32.0% | 3.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME | 25.3% | 3.95 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE | 10.2% | 9.84 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | URBAN DANCER | 7.4% | 13.49 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | PARTY GENIUS | 5.8% | 17.37 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 5.3% | 18.75 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT | 3.9% | 25.91 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 2.5% | 39.25 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 2.3% | 43.69 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | CHAIRMAN LO | 2.2% | 44.91 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 1.5% | 64.72 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER | 1.5% | 66.04 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 37
PLACE
2 14.5
3 14.5
11 18
QUINELLA
2,11 96
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 24
2,11 37
3,11 32.5
FORECAST
2,11 237
TIERCE
2,11,3 522
TRIO
2,3,11 70
FIRST 4
2,3,6,11 220
QUARTET
2,11,3,6 4,673
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,5/2,3,11 8,426
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16
5TH DOUBLE
5/2 174
5/11 70
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,8/2,4,5/2,3,11 1,453,861
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,8/2,4,5/Any Combination 29,077