Happy Valley · 2020-11-18
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2020-11-18 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MASTER GALAXY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with GALAXY EMPEROR second and ROMAN IMPERO third. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MASTER GALAXY 1.09.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 1 | 3.8 | N |
| 2 | 8 | GALAXY EMPEROR CP-/H/B1/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 2 | 4.8 | N |
| 3 | 1 | ROMAN IMPERO B C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 7 | 7.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | GREAT HARVEST B- K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 3 | 9.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | WELL DRAGON B/TT B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 6 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | FOR FUN'S SAKE H A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | ONE STEP AHEAD B/TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 6.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 7.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | VEGA RHYTHM H N Callan · L Ho | N Callan | L Ho | 10 | 63.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | JIMSON THE DRAGON TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 27.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | TINKER BELLE B A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 9 | 77.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | KA YING BRILLIANCE H/P/XB/TT- M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 12 | 107.0 | 19-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MASTER GALAXY | 26.6% | 3.77 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 22.9% | 4.36 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 15.4% | 6.51 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | GREAT HARVEST | 7.5% | 13.26 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 6.7% | 14.84 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY | 6.1% | 16.43 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | ROMAN IMPERO | 5.3% | 18.80 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | JIMSON THE DRAGON | 3.8% | 26.49 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | WELL DRAGON | 2.1% | 46.81 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | VEGA RHYTHM | 1.8% | 55.87 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | TINKER BELLE | 1.0% | 99.00 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 0.8% | 127.58 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 38
PLACE
1 23.5
7 16
8 18.5
QUINELLA
7,8 91
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 62.5
1,8 88.5
7,8 40
FORECAST
7,8 207
TIERCE
7,8,1 1,090
TRIO
1,7,8 234
FIRST 4
1,7,8,11 582
QUARTET
7,8,1,11 9,342
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 18.5