Happy Valley · 2020-11-18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT 1.38.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 3 | 7.0 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | GREEN LUCK Closed strongly V J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 3.3 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B M L Yeung · D J Hall | M L Yeung | D J Hall | 1 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE CP C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 31.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE Closed strongly M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 9 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | STAR PERFORMANCE Closed strongly TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 10 | 8.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PANFIELD TT1 A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 6 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT Led early A Hamelin · L Ho | A Hamelin | L Ho | 7 | 29.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 5.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAR AGAIN SR B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 8 | 14.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-11-18 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SUNSHINE WARRIOR, ridden by V Borges and trained by A S Cruz, won by HD, with GREEN LUCK second and FLYING QUEST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite GREEN LUCK finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GREEN LUCK | 23.9% | 4.18 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 19.1% | 5.24 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 11.5% | 8.72 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 10.7% | 9.38 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | FLYING QUEST | 6.4% | 15.73 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE | 5.7% | 17.47 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 5.7% | 17.50 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAR AGAIN | 5.7% | 17.53 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 4.6% | 21.74 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE | 3.9% | 25.56 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | PANFIELD | 2.9% | 34.71 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 70.5
PLACE
4 15
10 31.5
11 25
QUINELLA
4,11 148
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 73
4,11 50.5
10,11 111
FORECAST
11,4 308
TIERCE
11,4,10 2,925
TRIO
4,10,11 480
FIRST 4
1,4,10,11 1,499
QUARTET
11,4,10,1 34,889
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 34
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/4 49
5/11 366.5