Happy Valley · 2020-11-18
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUNNY LAD Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.40.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 7 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 5 | 7.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SWEETLY BABY Closed strongly B/H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 6.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS Closed strongly B A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ANONYMA K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 4.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly H/P/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 4 | 3.3 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT Closed strongly P- M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 40.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY H/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 1 | 3.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GREAT TIMES Closed strongly B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 9 | 176.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | ROSSE SCARPE XB- H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 2 | 143.0 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | KING'S HORN Led early B- C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 6 | 152.0 | 18-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-11-18 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SUNNY LAD, ridden by N Callan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with SHANGHAI GRACE second and SWEETLY BABY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite RIGHT HONOURABLE finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 35.7% | 2.80 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | ANONYMA | 16.9% | 5.92 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 15.1% | 6.62 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | SWEETLY BABY | 10.1% | 9.86 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 8.4% | 11.89 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | SUNNY LAD | 5.2% | 19.31 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 3.4% | 29.48 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARITY WINGS | 3.2% | 31.42 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | GREAT TIMES | 0.9% | 106.60 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | KING'S HORN | 0.6% | 166.77 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | ROSSE SCARPE | 0.5% | 205.72 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 149.5
PLACE
3 34.5
8 23.5
10 21
QUINELLA
3,8 697
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 162.5
3,10 117.5
8,10 98.5
FORECAST
3,8 1,139
TIERCE
3,8,10 7,480
TRIO
3,8,10 1,374
FIRST 4
3,5,8,10 2,593
QUARTET
3,8,10,5 68,410
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/3 765
7/8 43
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 66.5