Happy Valley · 2021-03-24
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2021-03-24 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BULLETPROOF, ridden by R Maia and trained by P F Yiu, won by HD, with DREAM WARRIORS second and ALL BEST FRIENDS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite SAVVY KINGMAN finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BULLETPROOF Closed strongly TT 1.39.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 10 | 9.9 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | DREAM WARRIORS Closed strongly CP/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 8.3 | HD |
| 3 | 12 | ALL BEST FRIENDS Closed strongly B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 12 | 42.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SAVVY KINGMAN Led early J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 2.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | OWNERS' STAR B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 5.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | WIND GLIDER B/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | DIONYSUS COLLIN Closed strongly P C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 53.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS Closed strongly TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 4 | 5.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | HAPPY WIN WIN TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 2 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | MING WARRIOR TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 128.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | AEROSONIC Closed strongly P-/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 9 | 165.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | CABLE SPEED C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 6 | 274.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 29.4% | 3.40 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | OWNERS' STAR | 26.4% | 3.78 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 9.2% | 10.89 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | DREAM WARRIORS | 7.7% | 13.03 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | WIND GLIDER | 5.4% | 18.46 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 5.4% | 18.66 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | BULLETPROOF | 5.2% | 19.11 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 5.1% | 19.54 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 2.8% | 35.37 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | AEROSONIC | 1.7% | 57.51 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | CABLE SPEED | 0.8% | 121.07 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | MING WARRIOR | 0.8% | 131.28 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 99
PLACE
3 20
9 27
12 80
QUINELLA
3,9 310
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 89.5
3,12 211
9,12 408.5
FORECAST
9,3 666
TIERCE
9,3,12 14,243
TRIO
3,9,12 2,965
FIRST 4
3,9,10,12 882
QUARTET
9,3,12,10 32,150
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
11/3 50
11/9 399.5
3 PICK 1
A2 24
A1 —
A3 —