Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2021-03-24

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.62
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MORE THAN ENOUGH Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · A S Cruz 10 9.3 SH
2 0 REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 8 23.0 SH
3 0 GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B Z Purton · C H Yip 2 4.5 3/4
4 0 PLIKCLONE B C L Chau · D J Hall 6 5.9 1
5 0 SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 10.0 1-1/4
6 0 V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · K L Man 3 4.8 1-3/4
7 0 OSCAR GLORY CP1 K Teetan · F C Lor 1 5.1 1-3/4
8 0 AMBITIOUS HEART Closed strongly B-/TT A Hamelin · D E Ferraris 11 74.0 2-3/4
9 0 THUNDER STOMP J Moreira · Y S Tsui 9 8.9 3-1/2
10 0 SUN SUN FA FA Closed strongly TT C Wong · W Y So 7 73.0 3-3/4
11 0 STAR OF RED TT H N Wong · K H Ting 12 174.0 5-1/4
12 0 HAPPY WARRIOR Led early H-/CP/TT1 M L Yeung · C Fownes 5 43.0 6-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-03-24 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MORE THAN ENOUGH, ridden by N Callan and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with REGENCY MASTER second and GLORIOUS LOVER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite GLORIOUS LOVER finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MORE THAN ENOUGH—2. REGENCY MASTER+0.1L3. GLORIOUS LOVER+0.75L4. PLIKCLONE+1L5. SEAWEED FORTUNE+1.25L6. V CHEVALIERS+1.75L7. OSCAR GLORY+1.75L8. AMBITIOUS HEART+2.75L9. THUNDER STOMP+3.5L10. SUN SUN FA FA+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick GLORIOUS LOVER (24.9%) finished 3rd — the winner MORE THAN ENOUGH was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GLORIOUS LOVER 24.9% 4.01 3
2 0 OSCAR GLORY 17.7% 5.64 7
3 0 THUNDER STOMP 14.1% 7.11 9
4 0 V CHEVALIERS 11.1% 8.97 6
5 0 PLIKCLONE 9.2% 10.89 4
6 0 SEAWEED FORTUNE 7.5% 13.37 5
7 0 MORE THAN ENOUGH 6.8% 14.73 1
8 0 REGENCY MASTER 3.3% 30.18 2
9 0 AMBITIOUS HEART 2.1% 47.01 8
10 0 HAPPY WARRIOR 1.5% 64.60 12
11 0 SUN SUN FA FA 1.3% 74.83 10
12 0 STAR OF RED 0.4% 264.16 11
GLORIOUS LOVEROSCAR GLORYTHUNDER STOMPV CHEVALIERSPLIKCLONESEAWEED FORTUNEMORE THAN ENOUGH — wonREGENCY MASTERAMBITIOUS HEARTHAPPY WARRIORSUN SUN FA FASTAR OF RED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 93

PLACE

1 18

4 57

6 31.5

QUINELLA

4,6 1,240

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 157.5

1,6 89

4,6 331

FORECAST

6,4 1,689

TIERCE

6,4,1 9,568

TRIO

1,4,6 1,270

FIRST 4

1,4,6,8 1,735

QUARTET

6,4,1,8 54,391

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 26.5

A1 —

A2 —

5TH DOUBLE

11/4 98.5

11/6 249