Happy Valley · 2021-03-24
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 3.4 | N |
| 2 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 12 | 9.5 | N |
| 3 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR Led early TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 11 | 16.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | WELL DRAGON B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 8 | 45.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TAILOR MADE V/TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 3.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | WONDER EXPRESS CP/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | DESTIN B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 6.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | GALAXY RACER Closed strongly B/H1/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 4 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 10 | 41.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BRAVE POWER B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 3 | 7.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIME TIME B/H2 R Maia · Y S Tsui | R Maia | Y S Tsui | 9 | 109.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | RUNNING GUY H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 7 | 156.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-03-24 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PRESIDENT STAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with NITRO EXPRESS second and VIRTUS STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite TAILOR MADE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 33.3% | 3.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 18.3% | 5.46 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS | 8.5% | 11.83 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | GALAXY RACER | 8.1% | 12.36 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE POWER | 6.7% | 15.02 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | DESTIN | 6.7% | 15.03 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | WONDER EXPRESS | 5.3% | 18.80 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 5.1% | 19.43 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 3.4% | 29.62 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | WELL DRAGON | 3.0% | 33.55 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIME TIME | 1.1% | 87.74 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | RUNNING GUY | 0.6% | 177.37 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 34.5
PLACE
8 39
11 15
12 31.5
QUINELLA
11,12 163
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 84
8,12 136.5
11,12 61
FORECAST
11,12 317
TIERCE
11,12,8 2,180
TRIO
8,11,12 546
FIRST 4
8,9,11,12 3,792
QUARTET
11,12,8,9 46,747
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/11 470.5
10/12 165
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A3 —
A2 —