跑馬地 · 2021-03-24
第 2場
2021-03-24跑馬地第2場，Class 5，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的PRESIDENT STAR勝出，贏出N。NITRO EXPRESS獲得亞軍；VIRTUS STAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門TAILOR MADE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PRESIDENT STAR 後段發力 B/TT 1.40.29 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 3.4 | N |
| 2 | 12 | NITRO EXPRESS 後段發力 B/TT J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 12 | 9.5 | N |
| 3 | 8 | VIRTUS STAR 早段領放 TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 11 | 16.0 | N |
| 4 | 9 | WELL DRAGON B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 8 | 45.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | TAILOR MADE V/TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 3.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | WONDER EXPRESS CP/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | DESTIN B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 6.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | GALAXY RACER 後段發力 B/H1/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 4 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | DIAMOND STAR 後段發力 E/TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 10 | 41.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | BRAVE POWER B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 3 | 7.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | PRIME TIME B/H2 R Maia · Y S Tsui | R Maia | Y S Tsui | 9 | 109.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | RUNNING GUY H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 7 | 156.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PRESIDENT STAR | 33.3% | 3.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | TAILOR MADE | 18.3% | 5.46 | 5 |
| 3 | 12 | NITRO EXPRESS | 8.5% | 11.83 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | GALAXY RACER | 8.1% | 12.36 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | BRAVE POWER | 6.7% | 15.02 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | DESTIN | 6.7% | 15.03 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | WONDER EXPRESS | 5.3% | 18.80 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | VIRTUS STAR | 5.1% | 19.43 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | DIAMOND STAR | 3.4% | 29.62 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | WELL DRAGON | 3.0% | 33.55 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | PRIME TIME | 1.1% | 87.74 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | RUNNING GUY | 0.6% | 177.37 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 34.5
PLACE
8 39
11 15
12 31.5
QUINELLA
11,12 163
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 84
8,12 136.5
11,12 61
FORECAST
11,12 317
TIERCE
11,12,8 2,180
TRIO
8,11,12 546
FIRST 4
8,9,11,12 3,792
QUARTET
11,12,8,9 46,747
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
10/11 470.5
10/12 165
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A3 —
A2 —