跑馬地 · 2021-03-24
第 1場
2021-03-24跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Badel策騎、T P Yung訓練的FLYING MONKEY勝出，贏出1/2。WINNER'S HEART獲得亞軍；LITTLE THUNDER獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門VIVA MAMA跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FLYING MONKEY BO/TT 0.56.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 8 | 8.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | WINNER'S HEART Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | LITTLE THUNDER B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 5 | 7.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | JOY AVENUE M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | WINNING WARRIOR B V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 2 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | LUCKY VICTOR B/TT C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 3 | 63.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | FOR FUN'S SAKE TT1 M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 9 | 25.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | READY CONQUEROR B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 4 | 8.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | VIVA MAMA TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 4.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | AFTER ME B C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 6 | 9.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | I'M THE CONQUIST B H W Lai · P O'Sullivan | H W Lai | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 88.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | DR EQ H/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 15.0 | 17 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DR EQ | 22.1% | 4.53 | 12 |
| 2 | 1 | LITTLE THUNDER | 13.8% | 7.24 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | READY CONQUEROR | 12.3% | 8.11 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | VIVA MAMA | 11.4% | 8.76 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | WINNER'S HEART | 9.1% | 11.00 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | JOY AVENUE | 8.9% | 11.22 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | AFTER ME | 6.9% | 14.43 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | WINNING WARRIOR | 3.9% | 25.91 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | FLYING MONKEY | 3.5% | 28.25 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 3.5% | 28.54 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | LUCKY VICTOR | 3.4% | 29.41 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | I'M THE CONQUIST | 1.1% | 88.45 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 87
PLACE
1 22
2 16.5
10 27
QUINELLA
2,10 226
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 61.5
1,10 76
2,10 79
FORECAST
10,2 559
TIERCE
10,2,1 2,657
TRIO
1,2,10 339
FIRST 4
1,2,8,10 861
QUARTET
10,2,1,8 24,063
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 26.5
A2 —