跑馬地 · 2021-03-24
第 4場
2021-03-24跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K C Leung策騎、P F Yiu訓練的JOYFUL WIN勝出，贏出SH。VICTORY IN HAND獲得亞軍；HARMONY FIRE獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門VICTORY IN HAND跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JOYFUL WIN B 0.57.20 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 9.5 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | VICTORY IN HAND TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 5 | 3.7 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | HARMONY FIRE XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 7 | 4.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 33.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | SHOWINA CP-/B1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | BOOMING WELL TT1 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 1 | 81.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | MY MY MY XB J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 11 | 7.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 4 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | VERY SWEET ORANGE V T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 12 | 41.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | GOUTEN OF GARO B/TT M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 3 | 31.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | FOURAWARRIOR K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 9 | 8.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | TOWARDS SUCCESS H H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 6 | 178.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MY MY MY | 23.1% | 4.33 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | VICTORY IN HAND | 16.3% | 6.14 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | HARMONY FIRE | 13.6% | 7.38 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 8.7% | 11.54 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | JOYFUL WIN | 6.8% | 14.69 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | FOURAWARRIOR | 6.6% | 15.23 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | SHOWINA | 5.9% | 16.92 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 5.6% | 17.82 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | BOOMING WELL | 5.4% | 18.40 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | GOUTEN OF GARO | 3.5% | 28.41 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | VERY SWEET ORANGE | 2.6% | 37.91 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 1.9% | 52.89 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 95
PLACE
2 16.5
3 13.5
4 28.5
QUINELLA
3,4 137
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 38.5
2,4 96
3,4 57
FORECAST
4,3 416
TIERCE
4,3,2 2,102
TRIO
2,3,4 314
FIRST 4
2,3,4,12 1,212
QUARTET
4,3,2,12 24,537
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 38
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/3 71.5
9/4 1,077.5