跑馬地 · 2021-03-24
第 8場
2021-03-24跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的HARMONY N HOME勝出，贏出1/2。JOYFUL UNION獲得亞軍；FIRST RESPONDER獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門SOARING TOWER跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HARMONY N HOME 1.09.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 7.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | JOYFUL UNION R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 1 | 9.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | FIRST RESPONDER B M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | STANLEY PARK B C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 4 | 5.4 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 5 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | STOCK LEGEND H/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 9 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | ARES M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 41.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | FLYING SWORD CP/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | MERIDIAN GENIUS CP- N Callan · A T Millard | N Callan | A T Millard | 10 | 145.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | SIMPLY FLUKE CP/H/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 6 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | SOARING TOWER J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 8 | 3.2 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 12 | 132.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | AURORA PEGASUS C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MAJESTIC GOLD A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | STOCK LEGEND | 28.0% | 3.57 | 6 |
| 2 | 11 | SOARING TOWER | 25.7% | 3.89 | 11 |
| 3 | 7 | HARMONY N HOME | 12.6% | 7.93 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | WOOD ON FIRE | 6.8% | 14.77 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | STANLEY PARK | 5.8% | 17.12 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 4.6% | 21.70 | 10 |
| 7 | 12 | FIRST RESPONDER | 4.5% | 22.01 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | ARES | 3.9% | 25.53 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | FLYING SWORD | 3.2% | 30.93 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | JOYFUL UNION | 3.1% | 32.09 | 2 |
| 11 | 4 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 1.1% | 93.90 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 0.6% | 180.50 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 79.5
PLACE
2 29.5
7 24
12 21.5
QUINELLA
2,7 333.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 112
2,12 132.5
7,12 89
FORECAST
7,2 871
TIERCE
7,2,12 4,758
TRIO
2,7,12 777
FIRST 4
1,2,7,12 715
QUARTET
7,2,12,1 22,641
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 24
7TH DOUBLE
5/2 123
5/7 667