跑馬地 · 2021-03-24
第 7場
2021-03-24跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的BE READY勝出，贏出2。HERCULES獲得亞軍；SHOUSON獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門DAILY BEAUTY跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BE READY B-/V1 1.09.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | HERCULES B/XB/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 3 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | SHOUSON B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 2 | 5.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | MR LUMIERES V M L Yeung · D J Hall | M L Yeung | D J Hall | 8 | 50.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | MOST WELCOME CP V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 7 | 69.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | ISLAND SHINE B/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | AQUILA B-/SB-/V1 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 6 | 45.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | DAILY BEAUTY TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 3.4 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B-/PC1 K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 10 | 8.3 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | YOUNG LEGEND H/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 12 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | CASIMIRO T Piccone · P O'Sullivan | T Piccone | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 46.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DAILY BEAUTY | 44.6% | 2.24 | 9 |
| 2 | 4 | SHOUSON | 12.7% | 7.90 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | BE READY | 11.8% | 8.50 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 7.5% | 13.30 | 10 |
| 5 | 11 | HERCULES | 6.5% | 15.31 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | ISLAND SHINE | 3.3% | 30.59 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | YOUNG LEGEND | 3.1% | 32.28 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | CASIMIRO | 2.6% | 39.16 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 2.5% | 40.57 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | MR LUMIERES | 2.1% | 46.92 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | MOST WELCOME | 1.9% | 52.37 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | AQUILA | 1.5% | 67.32 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 104
PLACE
4 19
5 29
11 34
QUINELLA
5,11 479.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 77
4,11 86.5
5,11 162.5
FORECAST
5,11 913
TIERCE
5,11,4 4,565
TRIO
4,5,11 733
FIRST 4
4,5,11,12 7,858
QUARTET
5,11,4,12 150,589
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,6/4,5,11 87,477
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 20.5
6TH DOUBLE
6/5 537.5
6/11 144
TRIPLE TRIO
9,11,12/1,4,6/4,5,11 5,818,185
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
9,11,12/1,4,6/Any Combination 116,363