Happy Valley · 2021-03-24
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOYFUL WIN B 0.57.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 9.5 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | VICTORY IN HAND BR-/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 5 | 3.7 | SH |
| 4 | 0 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 33.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SHOWINA CP-/B1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | BOOMING WELL TT1 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 1 | 81.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MY MY MY XB J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 11 | 7.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 4 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | VERY SWEET ORANGE V T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 12 | 41.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GOUTEN OF GARO B/TT M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 3 | 31.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FOURAWARRIOR K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 9 | 8.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | TOWARDS SUCCESS H H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 6 | 178.0 | 7 |
| — | 0 | HARMONY FIRE XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | — | 4.4 | 1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-03-24 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. JOYFUL WIN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with VICTORY IN HAND second and OVERSUBSCRIBED third. The 3.7 favourite VICTORY IN HAND finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MY MY MY | 23.1% | 4.33 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | VICTORY IN HAND | 16.3% | 6.14 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | HARMONY FIRE | 13.6% | 7.38 | — |
| 4 | 0 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 8.7% | 11.54 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | JOYFUL WIN | 6.8% | 14.69 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | FOURAWARRIOR | 6.6% | 15.23 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | SHOWINA | 5.9% | 16.92 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 5.6% | 17.82 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | BOOMING WELL | 5.4% | 18.40 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | GOUTEN OF GARO | 3.5% | 28.41 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | VERY SWEET ORANGE | 2.6% | 37.91 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 1.9% | 52.89 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 95
PLACE
2 16.5
3 13.5
4 28.5
QUINELLA
3,4 137
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 38.5
2,4 96
3,4 57
FORECAST
4,3 416
TIERCE
4,3,2 2,102
TRIO
2,3,4 314
FIRST 4
2,3,4,12 1,212
QUARTET
4,3,2,12 24,537
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 38
3RD DOUBLE
9/3 71.5
9/4 1,077.5