Happy Valley · 2021-04-21
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BRIGHT KID Closed strongly B/XB 1.39.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 5.3 | N |
| 2 | 0 | LAND POWER B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 6.1 | N |
| 3 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY Closed strongly CP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 4.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MING WARRIOR Closed strongly TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 10 | 101.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL JOYFUL Closed strongly M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 2 | 7.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 7 | 2.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP Led early B2 M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 9 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 8 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CHEEKY PRAWN E/B1 A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 39.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | STRONG ALLIANCE V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 3 | 96.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-21 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BRIGHT KID, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by N, with LAND POWER second and OSCAR GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite MORE THAN ENOUGH finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY | 28.4% | 3.53 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 25.3% | 3.95 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | BRIGHT KID | 15.9% | 6.29 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | LAND POWER | 15.1% | 6.60 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 4.5% | 22.06 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | ALL JOYFUL | 4.3% | 23.27 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 2.8% | 35.15 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | CHEEKY PRAWN | 1.9% | 52.81 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | STRONG ALLIANCE | 0.9% | 105.35 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | MING WARRIOR | 0.8% | 129.03 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 53.5
PLACE
1 18.5
4 14
5 19.5
QUINELLA
1,5 136.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 44
1,5 49
4,5 44
FORECAST
1,5 312
TIERCE
1,5,4 958
TRIO
1,4,5 151
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 2,539
QUARTET
1,5,4,3 39,312
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/1 147.5
7/5 43