Happy Valley · 2021-04-21
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE Closed strongly XB 1.39.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 4 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 3 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS H/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MISTER ARM Led early H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 9 | 9.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SWIFT SPIRIT Closed strongly B/XB/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 8 | 97.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | PURE LEGEND V H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 6 | 7.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 5.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | BRAVE KING TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 16.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-21 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FEARLESS FIRE, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1, with SEAWEED FORTUNE second and SAVVY KINGMAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite SAVVY KINGMAN finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 47.1% | 2.12 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS | 11.9% | 8.40 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | PURE LEGEND | 9.4% | 10.67 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 7.6% | 13.24 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE KING | 6.0% | 16.54 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 5.3% | 19.05 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 4.9% | 20.59 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 4.3% | 23.43 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | MISTER ARM | 2.6% | 38.03 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 1.0% | 96.10 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 107
PLACE
1 29.5
7 37
8 14
QUINELLA
1,7 766.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 200.5
1,8 60
7,8 83.5
FORECAST
1,7 1,481
TIERCE
1,7,8 5,931
TRIO
1,7,8 523
FIRST 4
1,4,7,8 1,022
QUARTET
1,7,8,4 39,315
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/1,7,8 8,165
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 27
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
1/1 337.5
1/7 83.5