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Happy Valley · 2025-06-25 · 11:15

Race 2

Class 4 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-25 was Class 4 over 1200m. MY DAY MY WAY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with NEW POWER second and CHARMING BABE third. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.55
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 MY DAY MY WAY CP 1.09.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C S Shum 8 3.2 SH
2 7 NEW POWER M L Yeung · C W Chang 9 8.2 SH
3 1 CHARMING BABE TT- J Orman · P F Yiu 1 6.7 1
4 8 FLYING WROTE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 7 8.3 1-1/4
5 4 MONARCH COUNTY B1/TT H Bowman · C Fownes 12 7.6 2
6 10 TELECOM POWER B A Badel · Y S Tsui 4 14.0 2-1/4
7 2 NATURAL HIGH B K Teetan · D J Hall 2 50.0 3-3/4
8 9 GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP CP-/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 5 15.0 6
9 3 HEROIC MASTER B/TT L Ferraris · F C Lor 11 30.0 7-1/4
10 11 BLING BLING GENIUS B1 A Hamelin · D J Whyte 6 6.9 9-3/4
11 12 COLONEL TT B Thompson · J Richards 10 80.0 11-1/4
12 6 FORTUNE WARRIOR XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace 3 24.0 13

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MY DAY MY WAY2. NEW POWER+0.1L3. CHARMING BABE+1L4. FLYING WROTE+1.25L5. MONARCH COUNTY+2L6. TELECOM POWER+2.25L7. NATURAL HIGH+3.75L8. GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP+6L9. HEROIC MASTER+7.25L10. BLING BLING GENIUS+9.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MY DAY MY WAY (20.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 MY DAY MY WAY 20.8% 4.80 1
2 4 MONARCH COUNTY 15.9% 6.29 5
3 10 TELECOM POWER 10.0% 9.96 6
4 7 NEW POWER 9.3% 10.70 2
5 2 NATURAL HIGH 8.5% 11.71 7
6 8 FLYING WROTE 6.5% 15.34 4
7 11 BLING BLING GENIUS 5.9% 16.83 10
8 3 HEROIC MASTER 5.9% 16.83 9
9 6 FORTUNE WARRIOR 5.7% 17.67 12
10 1 CHARMING BABE 5.1% 19.76 3
11 9 GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP 4.7% 21.42 8
12 12 COLONEL 1.6% 63.77 11
MY DAY MY WAY — wonMONARCH COUNTYTELECOM POWERNEW POWERNATURAL HIGHFLYING WROTEBLING BLING GENIUSHEROIC MASTERFORTUNE WARRIORCHARMING BABEGOLDEN FRIENDSHIPCOLONEL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 32.5

PLACE

1 21

5 15.5

7 24

QUINELLA

5,7 144

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 41.5

1,7 91.5

5,7 52.5

FORECAST

5,7 182

TIERCE

5,7,1 699

TRIO

1,5,7 172

FIRST 4

1,5,7,8 277

QUARTET

5,7,1,8 3,496

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

10/5 187

10/7 151.5