Happy Valley · 2025-06-25 · 15:05
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-25 was Class 3 over 1200m. DRAGON FOUR SEAS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 3/4, with POWER KOEPP second and YOUNG ARROW third. The 3.5 favourite STORM RIDER finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS B 1.09.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 6 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | POWER KOEPP A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 4 | 6.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | YOUNG ARROW CP A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 7 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | STORMING DRAGON V/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 12 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | STORM RIDER B H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 1 | 3.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | HAPPY FAT CAT CP2/TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 8 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | EASON V/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 8.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | KYRUS DRAGON H/XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 10 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | TRIUMPHANT MORE B J Orman · F C Lor | J Orman | F C Lor | 9 | 30.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | EVERSTAR CP H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 5 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | CHARMING LEGEND TT1 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SIR CHARGE XB/TT M Chadwick · D Eustace | M Chadwick | D Eustace | 2 | 62.0 | 4-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STORM RIDER | 28.1% | 3.56 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 20.9% | 4.79 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | EVERSTAR | 9.9% | 10.13 | 10 |
| 4 | 3 | POWER KOEPP | 8.7% | 11.46 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | EASON | 5.8% | 17.36 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | KYRUS DRAGON | 5.4% | 18.46 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | YOUNG ARROW | 5.1% | 19.67 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 4.7% | 21.07 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | STORMING DRAGON | 4.0% | 25.25 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | CHARMING LEGEND | 3.6% | 28.01 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | TRIUMPHANT MORE | 2.2% | 45.34 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | SIR CHARGE | 1.7% | 58.64 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 53.5
PLACE
3 21.5
7 19.5
11 32.5
QUINELLA
3,7 148
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 50
3,11 126
7,11 120.5
FORECAST
7,3 213
TIERCE
7,3,11 1,983
TRIO
3,7,11 470
FIRST 4
3,7,10,11 1,867
QUARTET
7,3,11,10 23,524
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
3/12/3 1,263
3/12/7 5,575
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,12/3,7,11 159,217
8TH DOUBLE
12/3 147
12/7 747
SIX UP
10,11/1,3/2,10/2,3/6,12/3,7 103,968
11/3/2/3/12/7 713,912
11 [M Chadwick] —
2 [C S Shum] —